RB Leipzig host Bayer Leverkusen at their Red Bull Arena on Saturday with both teams looking to bounce back from disappointing defeats last weekend. They are sitting in second and third on the table with just three points separating them.
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Leipzig have had a relatively successful campaign in the Bundesliga this term but a slight dip in form the last few weeks has allowed Bayern to open a gap at the top of the table. They remain in second place but are now seven points adrift of the champions.
The 3-2 away defeat to one of the basement clubs Mainz 05 was a particularly huge hit especially given the fact that they scored first in the game and the hosts had not won at home all season.
Two wins in their last five games is not good enough but with plenty of the season still left to play, Julian Nagelsmann will be looking for a response from his side here at home where they have been quite solid this season.
Leverkusen have struggled for consistency for the better part of the opening half of the season. However, a strong run in November and December helped them to establish themselves into the reckoning for Champions League qualification places. They currently are in third place just three points adrift of the hosts.
They too suffered a deflating loss in their last game, losing 1-0 at home to Wolfburg which left a bitter taste in the mouth of their fans particularly given how they outclassed perennial top-four rivals Dortmund in the previous match. They were left to rue missed opportunities after dominating much of that game.
With only three points between 3rd and 7th in the league, Peter Bosz’s side cannot afford another loss here if they are to keep their top-four slot.
These two sides looked like they would give Bayern a run for the money with strong runs to end the year. However, 2021 has not brought good tidings to them and this pretty match pretty much looks like a battle to maintain top-four status as opposed to a decisive title game. We expect a close and competitive game but not much in terms of goalmouth action. There last three straight meetings ended 1-1 and we feel there is value in backing Under 3.5 goals @ 1.45 as our initial betting tip.
Leipzig’s home performances have been their bread and butter this season. They have won seven of their nine games at the Red Bull Arena. Looking at the team sheets, they look to have a more favorable injury situation. Leverkusen’s influential midfield duo Julian Baumgartlinger and Nadiem Amiri have both been ruled out and we feel Leipzig will make the most of this to pick up another win @ 1.92.
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