RB Leipzig - 1. FSV Mainz 05 ai prediction 31.01.2026 Bundesliga

Preview of the Match: RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05

On Saturday, January 31st, 2026, RB Leipzig will host Mainz 05 at the Red Bull Arena for the 20th matchday of the Bundesliga. This encounter promises to be an intriguing clash between two teams with contrasting fortunes. Currently sitting in 4th place on the table with 36 points, RB Leipzig has displayed strong form throughout the season, boasting 11 victories, 3 draws, and 5 losses. They have also been formidable at home with a record of 7 wins and 2 losses.

Mainz 05, on the other hand, finds themselves in a precarious position, occupying the 16th spot with only 15 points. The team has struggled for consistency, managing just 3 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with only one win, three draws, and five losses. Nevertheless, they will be buoyed by their recent performances, including a 3-1 victory against VfL Wolfsburg in their last outing.

The stakes are high for both sides. For RB Leipzig, a win could solidify their position in the top four, potentially securing a spot in European competitions. Mainz 05, meanwhile, is desperate to gather points in their battle against relegation. The previous encounter between these teams saw RB Leipzig clinch a narrow 1-0 victory, and they will aim to replicate that result. Mainz 05 will hope to draw inspiration from their past successes against Leipzig, having defeated them twice in their last five meetings.

Our Betting Tip for the Match RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05

Our betting prediction for this match is a victory for RB Leipzig. Given their current form and strong home record, they are well-positioned to secure all three points. Another factor in their favor is the lackluster away performance of Mainz 05 this season. Our second betting tip is that both teams will score. Despite Mainz 05's struggles, they have shown the capability to find the back of the net, and RB Leipzig's defense has not been impregnable.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

RB Leipzig have drawn or lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

Mainz 05 have won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of RB Leipzig's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Mainz 05's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 4.5

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 4 of RB Leipzig's last 5 matches.

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 5 of Mainz 05's last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI Prediction for the Match RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05

Based on the data and statistical analysis, the AI prediction leans towards an RB Leipzig victory with a likely scoreline of 2-1. The AI tip considers Leipzig's superior form and Mainz's vulnerable defense, making the home side the favorites. With both teams eager to prove a point, expect an engaging match with opportunities for goals at both ends.

RB Leipzig Performance Check

Under the tutelage of coach Ole Werner, RB Leipzig has enjoyed a solid run in the Bundesliga. With 36 points and sitting comfortably in 4th place, they have shown resilience and attacking prowess, as evidenced by their 37 goals scored. However, their recent form has been mixed, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in their last five matches. A recent 1-1 draw against FC St. Pauli highlighted their need to tighten up defensively while maintaining their offensive threat.

How is the Current Performance of Mainz 05?

Mainz 05, managed by Urs Fischer, are in a challenging phase as they navigate the lower echelons of the Bundesliga table. With only 15 points, they have struggled to string together positive results. Despite being in the relegation zone, their recent form offers a glimmer of hope, having secured 2 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 defeat in their last five encounters. The team will be eager to build on their 3-1 triumph over VfL Wolfsburg and carry that momentum into their clash against Leipzig.

Last Direct Match

The last meeting between RB Leipzig and Mainz 05 ended in a 1-0 victory for Leipzig. This result should give the home side confidence going into the upcoming fixture, although Mainz will be determined to avenge that loss and enhance their league standing.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In their last five encounters across all competitions, both teams have secured two victories each, with one match ending in a draw. This balanced head-to-head record suggests that Mainz 05 can be a tricky opponent for Leipzig, and the upcoming match could be closely contested.

Performance Last 5 Matches

RB Leipzig has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches, showcasing inconsistency. Meanwhile, Mainz 05 has fared slightly better with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, hinting at an upturn in form that they will hope to sustain.

Performance

RB Leipzig

Last games

RB Leipzig performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

60%

Over 2.5

80%

Mainz 05

Last games

Mainz 05 performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

80%

Last Match Results RB Leipzig and Mainz 05

RB Leipzig's last match resulted in a 1-1 draw away to FC St. Pauli, a fixture where they would have hoped for a better result. Mainz 05, conversely, enjoyed a morale-boosting 3-1 victory at home against VfL Wolfsburg, a result that could inspire confidence as they face Leipzig.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

The best odds for this fixture are available at various betting sites. For a home win, Betwinner offers odds of 1.60. A draw is priced at 4.73 at Betwinner, while an away win for Mainz is at 5.70 with Mozzart. For both teams to score, Paripesa has odds of 1.62 for 'Yes' and Bet9ja offers 2.41 for 'No'. Our experience with the best betting sites suggests that a home win for RB Leipzig is the most favorable outcome, and we recommend checking our bookmaker comparison for the best offers.

Conclusion

In conclusion, RB Leipzig enters this match as the favorites, given their superior league position and home advantage. However, Mainz 05's recent improvement in form should not be underestimated. While Leipzig is expected to secure the win, both teams are likely to find the net, promising an exciting match for fans and bettors alike.

Here are tomorrow's betting tips, which promise to offer more thrilling matches and potential for rewarding wagers. Are you looking for a new and reliable bookmaker? Then register a new betting account and get the Paripesa bonus as a welcome gift.