Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Athletic Bilbao ai prediction 04.05.2025 Primera División

Preview for the Clash: Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao

The Primera División match between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao, scheduled for Sunday, May 4, 2025, at 20:00, promises to be a captivating encounter. With the competition heading into its final stretch, both teams are looking to bolster their positions on the league table. The Reale Arena will be the venue for this derby, where local pride and critical points are at stake.

Real Sociedad currently sits in the 10th position with 42 points, having secured 12 victories, 6 draws, and 15 defeats. The team's goal tally stands at 32 scored and 37 conceded, reflecting a challenging campaign. At home, Real Sociedad has managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and has suffered 7 losses, underlining their inconsistent form at the Reale Arena. Imanol Alguacil Barrenetxea, the head coach, will be eager to guide his team to a strong finish in the league, aiming to leverage their home advantage against a formidable opponent.

On the other hand, Athletic Bilbao is enjoying a more successful season, currently positioned 4th in the table with 60 points. Their record boasts 16 wins, 12 draws, and just 5 defeats, coupled with an impressive goal difference of 50 scored and 26 conceded. Ernesto Valverde Tejedor's side has been particularly resilient on the road, recording 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses away from home. As the season nears its conclusion, maintaining their spot in the upper echelons of the table is crucial for Athletic Bilbao.

In their last direct encounter, Athletic Bilbao emerged victorious with a narrow 1:0 win at home. Historically, the head-to-head record over the past five meetings favors Athletic Bilbao, who have won three times compared to Real Sociedad’s two victories. With both teams possessing potent attacking threats, this match is expected to be an engaging battle of tactics and determination.

Our Betting Tip for Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao

Our betting prediction favors a home win for Real Sociedad. Despite their inconsistent form, the team under Imanol Alguacil Barrenetxea has shown the capacity to perform well in front of their home crowd. Furthermore, considering Athletic Bilbao's recent form and the stakes involved, we anticipate a closely contested match. Our second betting tip is that both teams will not score in this encounter, given Real Sociedad's relatively low scoring output and Athletic Bilbao's solid defensive record.

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 1.5

There have been under 1.5 goals scored in 1 of Real Sociedad's last 4 matches.

There have been under 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Athletic Bilbao's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

X2

Real Sociedad have drawn or lost 3 of their last 4 matches.

Athletic Bilbao have won or drawn 5 of their last 6 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Real Sociedad's last 4 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Athletic Bilbao's last 6 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI Prediction for the Match Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao

Based on the data and recent performances, the AI prediction suggests a tight match with a slight edge to Real Sociedad to secure a 1-0 victory. The AI betting tip leans towards a 1X2 tip favoring a home win, considering Real Sociedad’s decent home record and Athletic Bilbao’s potential vulnerabilities on the road. The correct score tip is a narrow 1-0 win for Real Sociedad.

Real Sociedad Performance Check

Real Sociedad's performance this season has been marked by inconsistency, as reflected in their current 10th place standing. Under the guidance of Imanol Alguacil Barrenetxea, the team has shown flashes of brilliance, but have struggled to maintain momentum. With 42 points, they have secured 12 wins but have suffered 15 defeats, indicating a need for greater stability. Their home form has been a mixed bag, with 7 wins and an equal number of losses, highlighting the challenge they face in turning the Reale Arena into a fortress.

How is the Current Performance of Athletic Bilbao?

Athletic Bilbao, managed by Ernesto Valverde Tejedor, has enjoyed a strong campaign, currently sitting 4th in the league. Their robust performance is underscored by 16 victories and only 5 losses, along with a commendable goal difference. On the road, they have been resilient, with 6 wins and 6 draws. The team is in a favorable position to secure European competition next season and will be keen to solidify their standing with a positive result in this derby clash.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In the last five meetings between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao across all competitions, Athletic Bilbao has had the upper hand with three victories compared to Real Sociedad’s two. The intense rivalry has seen no draws in recent encounters, highlighting the competitive nature of this fixture.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Real Sociedad's recent form has been less than ideal, with just one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings across all competitions. Athletic Bilbao, conversely, has been in better form, securing three wins, one draw, and one defeat, which has helped them maintain a strong league position.

Performance

Real Sociedad

Last games

Real Sociedad performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

25%

Over 2.5

25%

Athletic Bilbao

Last games

Athletic Bilbao performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

16%

Over 2.5

16%

Last Match Results Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao

In their most recent league match, Real Sociedad faced a narrow 0-1 away defeat against Deportivo Alavés, while Athletic Bilbao secured a 1-0 home victory over UD Las Palmas. These results reflect Real Sociedad's ongoing struggle for consistency and Athletic Bilbao's ability to capitalize on tight matches.

Best Odds and Our Betting Prediction for the Match

For those interested in the betting landscape, the odds favor a home win for Real Sociedad with the best odds at Betika at 2.50. A draw is priced at 3.28 with Betwinner, and an away win for Athletic Bilbao at 3.54 with the same bookmaker. For both teams not to score, the odds are 1.75 at Gbets. Experience with various betting sites indicates that these odds offer value for those backing Real Sociedad. Find the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison to maximize your betting experience.

Conclusion

In conclusion, this derby match is set to be a fiercely contested affair. Real Sociedad's home advantage may tilt the balance in their favor, and with Athletic Bilbao’s solid form, a tightly fought contest is expected. Our prediction leans towards a narrow home victory for Real Sociedad, with the likelihood that both teams will not score.

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