Spain and Germany will go toe-to-toe in Seville on Tuesday night in a high-stakes winner-takes-all final group match in the UEFA Nations.
After looking to be in pole position in this group, Spain has choked at the worst possible moment, picking only a point from their last two group games to all but hand over the control of the group to their rivals Germany. They lost 1-0 at Ukraine last month and followed that up with a hard-fought 1-1 draw in Switzerland in which they needed an 89th equalizer from Gerard Moreno after squandering two penalties in the game.
Luis Enrique’s side are now second in the group behind Germany on eight points, a point shy of the leaders and they now find themselves in a must-win situation on Tuesday night to secure a spot in the semi-finals.
Spain has performed well at home though where they have won their last 8 straight matches, including the two group matches against Switzerland and Ukraine. Germany though presents a different challenge altogether and it will be interesting to see how they will navigate the challenge.
Unlike the hosts, Germany had a lukewarm start to the competition but have grown stronger with each fixture. They drew the first couple of group games at home to Spain and away in Switzerland. They then switched gears and have won two of the last three games, with the last one being a 3-1 home win over Ukraine that moved them to the top of Group A4, on 9 points, one ahead of Spain.
Timo Werner was the hero on his return to his former club Leipzig’s Red Bull Arena as his two goals helped complete the 3-1 comeback after they fell 1-0 down early against a determined Ukraine team.
Joachim Low’s side are now in prime position to advance to the last four as all they have to do it to avoid defeat here.
A match-up pitting two European football heavyweights is always difficult to call one way or another. The last two meetings between them ended all square and that’s including the reverse group fixture that ended 1-1 in Germany with Spain getting a late equalizer than. In terms of momentum, however, we have to say that seems to be swinging Germany’s way. They are unbeaten in their last 12 matches. Spain meantime appears to be stumbling as we come to the finish line. They’ve only won one of their last 5 matches. The margins are tight here but we are inclined to back Germany on the double chance @ 1.60 with Bwin for our first betting tip here.
Even though the Nations League is not high on the checklist for these teams, any chance to reach the finals of an international event is always a welcome opportunity if their resumes are anything to go by. The winner of this match will be in with a chance to get to the finals. As such both teams will be out to get it. This portends a closely fought match with potential for cynical tackles here and there. Bwin betting app’s Over 3.5 booking is priced at 1.87 and we feel there is some value in going with it for our final tip from this clash.
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