Uruguay
Uruguay
VS
Peru
Peru
International
International
WC-Quali. South America
Thursday
23:30
Starting in
-- : -- : -- : --
MATCH ABOUT TO START
football in stadium
© Midjourney

Uruguay - Peru ai prediction 04.09.2025 WC-Quali. South America

Preview for Match Uruguay vs Peru

The upcoming clash between Uruguay and Peru on September 5, 2025, promises to be a crucial encounter in the South American World Cup Qualifiers. As the teams approach Matchday 17, their current standings and recent performances create an intriguing backdrop for this match. Uruguay finds itself in the fourth position of the table with 24 points, having secured six victories, drawn six, and suffered four defeats. Their goal tally of 19 goals scored against 12 conceded illustrates a solid but not infallible defensive record. In contrast, Peru languishes in ninth place, accumulating only 12 points from two wins, six draws, and eight defeats. Their goal statistics paint a stark picture, with just six goals scored and 17 conceded, highlighting their struggles in both attacking and defensive departments.

Historically, matches between these two teams have often been closely contested. The last meeting ended in a narrow 1-0 victory for Peru, a result that may serve as a psychological boost for the visitors. However, the aggregate performance of both teams suggests that Uruguay will be keen to assert dominance on home soil. The match will be held at the iconic Estadio Centenario in Montevideo, where Uruguay has traditionally enjoyed strong support and results.

Uruguay's home record stands at an impressive five wins, two draws, and just one defeat. This solid foundation offers them a significant advantage as they prepare to face a Peru side that has yet to secure a victory in their away matches this campaign, recording two draws and six defeats. As Uruguay seeks to solidify their position in the qualification race, the stakes could not be higher.

Our Betting Tip for the Match Uruguay vs Peru

In light of the current form and statistical analysis, our betting prediction leans heavily towards a home victory for Uruguay. The odds for a win for Uruguay (Tip 1) are currently set at 1.33 with Paripesa, reflecting their status as the clear favorites in this encounter. Given their superior position in the table and their strong home record, a win seems highly plausible.

Additionally, we recommend considering the option that both teams will not score (Tip NO), with odds of 1.53 available at Gbets. This is substantiated by Peru's lack of offensive prowess, as they have struggled to find the back of the net consistently throughout the qualifiers. With Uruguay's defense being relatively solid, it is reasonable to predict a low-scoring affair.

Our tips

AI Prediction for the Match Uruguay vs Peru

Based on the analysis of available data and recent performances, the AI betting tip for this match forecasts a solid victory for Uruguay. The expected scoreline is likely to be 2-0 in favor of the home team. This prediction is based on Uruguay's ability to capitalize on home advantage and Peru's ongoing struggles to generate offensive momentum on the road. The AI model suggests that while Uruguay may dominate possession and create several scoring opportunities, Peru will find it challenging to penetrate the solid defensive structure that Uruguay typically employs.

Uruguay Performance Check

Uruguay, under the guidance of coach Marcelo Alberto Bielsa Caldera, has showcased a mixed bag of performances in their recent outings. With one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five matches across all competitions, they are keen to regain consistency. The team's current position in the table reflects their competitive nature, and they will be eager to leverage their home ground advantage to ensure a strong finish in the qualification campaign. The attacking trio, coupled with a disciplined defense, positions them well to challenge any opposition.

How is the Current Performance of Peru?

Peru's recent form has not been encouraging, with their last five matches yielding one win, two draws, and two defeats. Managed by a yet-to-be-confirmed coach as of late, the team struggles with confidence and morale. Their most recent encounter ended in a goalless draw against Ecuador, further illustrating their difficulties in converting chances into goals. With a lack of victories away from home, Peru will face an uphill battle in Montevideo, aiming to at least secure a point against a formidable opponent.

Last Direct Match

The previous encounter between these two sides saw Peru clinch a narrow 1-0 victory, a result that will undoubtedly remain fresh in the minds of both the players and fans alike. This historical win could serve as motivation for Peru to replicate their success, even as they face significant challenges in this upcoming match.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In the last five meetings across all competitions, Uruguay has secured two wins, while Peru has won once, with two matches ending in draws. This parity highlights the competitive nature of their encounters, though Uruguay's home advantage is likely to weigh heavily in their favor.

Performance Last 5 Matches

In their last five matches, Uruguay has recorded one win, two draws, and two defeats, while Peru has managed one win, two draws, and two defeats as well. Both teams have shown a degree of inconsistency, but Uruguay's overall performance and home record position them as the stronger side heading into this match.

Performance

Uruguay
Uruguay
Last games

Uruguay performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories
40%
Over 2.5
20%
Peru
Peru
Last games

Peru performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories
0%
Over 2.5
20%

Last Match Results Uruguay and Peru

Uruguay's last match ended in a convincing 2-0 victory over Venezuela, showcasing their attacking capabilities. In contrast, Peru's recent performance resulted in a disappointing 0-0 draw against Ecuador, indicating their ongoing struggles to find the net.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

The best odds for this match indicate a strong preference for Uruguay, with Tip 1 (home win) available at 1.33 with Paripesa, while a draw (Tip X) is offered at 5.43 with Betwinner. The odds for an away win for Peru (Tip 2) are notably higher at 12.70, reflecting their underdog status. Our experience with various betting sites suggests that these odds are competitive, and we encourage exploring the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison for optimal betting conditions.

Conclusion on the Match

In summary, Uruguay emerges as the clear favorite heading into this match against Peru, bolstered by their home advantage and overall superior form in the qualifiers. With a solid defense and a capable attack, they are well-positioned to secure a victory that could prove pivotal in their quest for World Cup qualification. Conversely, Peru will need to overcome significant hurdles if they wish to challenge for points in Montevideo.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow, as we continue to monitor the exciting developments in the world of football and the upcoming matches.

Current Standing

POS TEAM PTS MP W D L GF GA GD
1
Argentina
Argentina
35 16 11 2 3 28 9 19
2
Ecuador
Ecuador
25 16 7 7 2 13 5 8
3
Brazil
Brazil
25 16 7 4 5 21 16 5
4
Uruguay
Uruguay
24 16 6 6 4 19 12 7
5
Paraguay
Paraguay
24 16 6 6 4 13 10 3
6
Colombia
Colombia
22 16 5 7 4 19 15 4
7
Venezuela
Venezuela
18 16 4 6 6 15 19 -4
8
Bolivia
Bolivia
17 16 5 2 9 16 32 -16
9
Peru
Peru
12 16 2 6 8 6 17 -11
10
Chile
Chile
10 16 2 4 10 9 24 -15
Legend
  • Qualifiers
  • Play-offs