Chelsea FC - Sport Lisboa e Benfica ai prediction 30.09.2025 Champions League

Preview for Chelsea FC vs SL Benfica: Champions League Showdown

The Champions League returns with an intriguing clash between Chelsea FC and SL Benfica, set to unfold at the iconic Stamford Bridge on Tuesday, 30th September 2025. Both teams find themselves in a precarious position in Group D, having suffered defeats in their opening fixtures. Chelsea, managed by Enzo Maresca, endured a surprising setback against their group rivals, resulting in a 1:3 loss. SL Benfica, under the seasoned guidance of José Mourinho, also faced disappointment with a narrow 2:3 defeat. As both teams aim to secure their first points in the competition, the stakes are elevated, promising a captivating encounter.

Chelsea's recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five matches across all competitions. The London club’s defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding three goals in their last Champions League match. Despite these challenges, Chelsea's home advantage at Stamford Bridge might provide the impetus needed to turn their fortunes around. On the other hand, Benfica arrives in England with a slightly better recent record, having recorded two wins in their last five matches. However, their away form in European competitions has been less than stellar, adding to the complexity of this fixture.

The head-to-head record between these two clubs heavily favors Chelsea. The Blues have triumphed in all four of their most recent encounters against Benfica, including a memorable 4:1 victory after extra time. This historical dominance, combined with the home ground advantage, makes Chelsea the favorites in this clash. Nevertheless, Benfica's resilience and tactical acumen under Mourinho cannot be underestimated, setting the stage for a thrilling contest.

Our Betting Tip for Chelsea FC vs SL Benfica

Our betting prediction for this Champions League encounter leans towards a home victory for Chelsea FC. Enzo Maresca's side, despite recent setbacks, are expected to capitalize on their home advantage and secure all three points. Chelsea's attacking prowess, led by a dynamic forward line, could prove decisive against a Benfica side that has shown defensive frailties.

Furthermore, considering both teams' recent performance patterns, our second tip is that both teams will score in this match. Chelsea's defense has been leaky, while Benfica has demonstrated an ability to find the back of the net consistently. This combination positions the "Both teams to score" market as an appealing option for bettors.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Chelsea FC have drawn or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

SL Benfica have won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

1X2

Away win

Chelsea FC have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

SL Benfica have won 2 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Chelsea FC's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of SL Benfica's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI Prediction for Chelsea FC vs SL Benfica

Analyzing the data and form of both teams, the AI prediction suggests a narrow victory for Chelsea FC. The anticipated scoreline is 2:1 in favor of the home side. Chelsea's historical advantage in head-to-head meetings with Benfica, coupled with their necessity to bounce back, supports this forecast. However, the AI also acknowledges the potential for Benfica to pose a significant challenge and score at least once during the match.

Chelsea FC Performance Check

Under the stewardship of Enzo Maresca, Chelsea FC has faced a challenging start to the season. Currently positioned 28th in the Champions League table, the Blues have yet to open their account in terms of points. With a single win in their last five matches, Chelsea's form has been a cause for concern. The recent home loss to Brighton & Hove Albion highlighted defensive lapses that Maresca will be keen to address. Nevertheless, Chelsea's attacking line-up remains formidable, and playing at Stamford Bridge provides a significant advantage.

How is the Current Performance of SL Benfica?

SL Benfica, managed by the experienced José Mourinho, enters this match with a slightly better recent record than their opponents. Currently placed 24th in the Champions League standings, Benfica also seeks their first points in the group stage. Mourinho's tactical acumen has guided the team to two wins and two draws in their last five outings. Despite a narrow defeat in their Champions League opener, Benfica showed resilience and attacking flair, which they will aim to replicate against Chelsea.

Last Direct Match

The last direct encounter between Chelsea FC and SL Benfica ended in a thrilling 4:1 victory for Chelsea after extra time. This memorable clash saw both teams locked at 1:1 during regular time, with Chelsea ultimately prevailing in the additional period. This result further cements Chelsea's dominance in their recent meetings with Benfica.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

The head-to-head record between Chelsea FC and SL Benfica over their last four encounters showcases Chelsea's superiority. The Blues have emerged victorious in all four matches, with no draws or wins for Benfica. This history provides Chelsea with a psychological edge heading into this Champions League fixture.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Chelsea FC's recent form has been inconsistent, with one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five matches across all competitions. Conversely, SL Benfica has shown more stability, recording two wins, two draws, and only one defeat in their last five outings. These contrasting form lines add an intriguing dynamic to the upcoming clash at Stamford Bridge.

Performance

Chelsea FC

Last games

Chelsea FC performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

60%

Over 2.5

40%

SL Benfica

Last games

SL Benfica performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

80%

Over 2.5

40%

Last Match Results Chelsea FC and SL Benfica

In their most recent outings, Chelsea FC suffered a 1:3 home defeat to Brighton & Hove Albion, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Meanwhile, SL Benfica secured a 2:1 home victory against Gil Vicente, showcasing their offensive capabilities and resilience under pressure.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip for Chelsea FC vs SL Benfica

For those eager to bet on this match, the best odds for a Chelsea FC victory (Tip 1) can be found at Betika with odds of 1.63. For a draw (Tip X), Betwinner offers odds of 4.36, while a Benfica victory (Tip 2) is priced at 5.94 with Betwinner. Additionally, the "Both teams to score" market provides attractive odds, with the option priced at 1.70 (Tip YES) at Gbets. For comprehensive insights, bettors can explore our bookmaker comparison to identify the best betting sites in Africa and beyond.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, Chelsea FC enters this Champions League clash as the favorites, driven by their historical dominance over SL Benfica and the advantage of playing at Stamford Bridge. While Benfica, under Mourinho's tactical guidance, is expected to pose a formidable challenge, Chelsea's attacking prowess and home support are likely to tip the balance in their favor. A 2:1 victory for the home side seems a plausible outcome.

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