FC St. Pauli - Bayer 04 Leverkusen ai prediction 27.09.2025 Bundesliga

Preview for the Clash: FC St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen

Saturday, September 27, 2025, brings an intriguing encounter in the Bundesliga as FC St. Pauli hosts Bayer Leverkusen at the Millerntor-Stadion. As we approach matchday 5 of the season, both teams are eager to secure vital points and bolster their standings in the league table. FC St. Pauli finds themselves in a commendable 5th position with 7 points, showcasing a promising start with two victories, one draw, and one loss. Their recent form has been bolstered by a solid home record, securing one win and one draw at their fortress.

On the other hand, Bayer Leverkusen has had a moderate start to the season, sitting at 11th place in the Bundesliga with 5 points. Under the guidance of manager Kasper Hjulmand, they have managed one win, two draws, and one defeat. Leverkusen's away record indicates a cautious approach, having secured a draw in their solitary away outing. Historically, Bayer Leverkusen has held the upper hand in this fixture, winning four out of the last five meetings against FC St. Pauli, with one match ending in a draw.

Both teams are coming off contrasting results; FC St. Pauli suffered a 0-2 away defeat to VfB Stuttgart, while Bayer Leverkusen managed a 1-1 draw at home against Borussia Mönchengladbach. As the teams prepare to clash at the Millerntor-Stadion, fans can anticipate a competitive match with potential fireworks. The match promises to be an exciting encounter with both teams eager to assert their dominance.

Our Betting Tip for the Match FC St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen

Our betting prediction for this exciting Bundesliga matchup leans towards an away victory for Bayer Leverkusen. Despite their current standing, Leverkusen's historical advantage over FC St. Pauli cannot be overlooked. They have emerged victorious in four out of the last five meetings, which speaks volumes about their capability to perform against this opponent. Moreover, considering Bayer Leverkusen's attacking prowess and FC St. Pauli's recent defensive vulnerabilities, a bet on both teams to score appears promising. The odds for a Bayer Leverkusen win stand at 2.28, offering value for bettors.

Our tips

Double Chance

1X

FC St. Pauli have won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.

Bayer Leverkusen have drawn or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of FC St. Pauli's last 5 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 2 of FC St. Pauli's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI Prediction for the Match FC St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen

The AI prediction for this encounter suggests a close affair, but ultimately favors a triumph for Bayer Leverkusen. Analyzing the statistics and recent form, the AI tips a 2-1 victory for the visitors. This prediction aligns with Bayer Leverkusen's ability to capitalize on critical moments in matches, coupled with FC St. Pauli's struggle to maintain defensive solidity against top-tier opponents. The AI forecast also supports the notion that both teams are likely to find the back of the net.

FC St. Pauli Performance Check

Under the stewardship of Alexander Blessin, FC St. Pauli has shown resilience and ambition in the early stages of the Bundesliga season. With two wins, one draw, and one defeat, their campaign has been a mixture of promise and challenges. Their home form is particularly noteworthy, remaining unbeaten with a win and a draw at the Millerntor-Stadion. However, the recent 0-2 loss to VfB Stuttgart highlighted some defensive frailties that need addressing. Blessin will be keen to rectify these issues and leverage their attacking potential to secure positive results moving forward.

How is the Current Performance of Bayer Leverkusen?

Kasper Hjulmand's tenure at Bayer Leverkusen has seen a mix of results, with the team currently placed 11th in the league. Their performance has been characterized by one win, two draws, and one defeat. Despite their mid-table position, Leverkusen boasts a potent attack, having scored eight goals in four matches. However, their defense has been equally susceptible, conceding seven goals. Hjulmand will be eager to tighten the defensive ranks while continuing to exploit their attacking strengths. The recent 1-1 draw against Borussia Mönchengladbach demonstrated their potential to compete against formidable opposition.

Last Direct Match

The last encounter between FC St. Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen ended in a 1-1 draw, an evenly contested match that saw both teams share the spoils. This result reflects the competitive nature of their recent fixtures and sets the stage for another closely fought battle at the Millerntor-Stadion.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In the previous five meetings across all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen has dominated the fixture with four victories, while FC St. Pauli has managed to avoid defeat only once, resulting in a draw. This head-to-head record underscores Bayer Leverkusen's historical superiority in this matchup.

Performance Last 5 Matches

FC St. Pauli's form in the last five matches has been relatively balanced with two wins, two draws, and one defeat. They have shown the capability to secure points but need consistency to maintain their position in the upper echelons of the league. Conversely, Bayer Leverkusen has experienced one win, three draws, and one defeat in the same period. Their ability to grind out results and avoid losses speaks to their resilience.

Performance

FC St. Pauli

Last games

FC St. Pauli performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

75%

Over 2.5

75%

Bayer Leverkusen

Last games

Bayer Leverkusen performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

66%

Last Match Results FC St. Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen

FC St. Pauli's last outing resulted in a 0-2 defeat away to VfB Stuttgart, a setback they aim to put behind them. Bayer Leverkusen, meanwhile, played out a 1-1 draw at home against Borussia Mönchengladbach, showcasing their potential to compete with strong opponents.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip for the Match

For bettors seeking the best odds for this fixture, we recommend exploring various betting sites. The odds for a Bayer Leverkusen win are 2.28 at Betika, while FC St. Pauli's chances are valued at 3.40 at Betwinner. For those anticipating an open game with goals, the odds for both teams to score sit at 1.75 with Gbets. Our main betting prediction favors an away win for Bayer Leverkusen, given their historical advantage and current form. Additionally, the likelihood of both teams scoring adds value to this betting strategy.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the upcoming Bundesliga encounter between FC St. Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen promises to be an enthralling contest. While FC St. Pauli will look to capitalize on their home advantage, Bayer Leverkusen's superior head-to-head record positions them as slight favorites. With both teams possessing attacking prowess, spectators can anticipate an engaging match with goals. As always, we encourage bettors to explore the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison to find favorable odds and maximize their potential returns.

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