1. FSV Mainz 05 - TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ai prediction 21.11.2025 Bundesliga

Preview for Match: Mainz 05 vs 1899 Hoffenheim

As the Bundesliga season progresses into its eleventh matchday, Mainz 05 is set to host 1899 Hoffenheim in a contest that holds significant implications for both teams. Scheduled for Friday, November 21, 2025, at 20:30, and taking place at the MEWA ARENA, this match presents a crucial opportunity for Mainz 05 to attempt a turnaround in their current form. Currently languishing at the 17th position in the league table with a mere five points, Mainz 05 has managed only one victory this season, alongside two draws and seven losses. Their goal tally stands at 10 scored and 18 conceded, painting a picture of a team struggling to find its rhythm.

Contrastingly, 1899 Hoffenheim sits comfortably at sixth place with 19 points. Under the management of Christian Ilzer, they have recorded six wins, one draw, and three losses, amassing 21 goals while conceding 16. Their away record is particularly impressive, remaining unbeaten with four wins and a single draw. The last direct encounter between these two sides resulted in a 2-0 victory for Hoffenheim, further emphasizing their current superiority. However, Mainz 05 will be eager to leverage their home advantage, albeit having not won at home this season, to change their fortunes.

Our Betting Tip for Match: Mainz 05 vs 1899 Hoffenheim

Our betting prediction for this intriguing Bundesliga fixture leans towards a home win for Mainz 05, despite their current struggles. The team, led by Bo Henriksen, will be desperate to secure their first home victory of the season, which might just come against a strong Hoffenheim side. While Mainz has faced challenges, their resilience could see them through in this encounter. Furthermore, the odds from Betika favor a Mainz win with a return of 2.42.

In addition to predicting a home win, we also foresee both teams getting on the scoresheet. With Mainz's defensive vulnerabilities and Hoffenheim's attacking prowess, a goal-fest could be on the cards. Paripesa offers odds of 1.55 for both teams to score, which seems a probable outcome given the circumstances.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Mainz 05 have drawn or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

1899 Hoffenheim have won or drawn 5 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

1X2

Away win

Mainz 05 have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

1899 Hoffenheim have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Mainz 05's last 5 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

AI Prediction for the Match: Mainz 05 vs 1899 Hoffenheim

The AI prediction suggests that Hoffenheim might have the upper hand, given their superior form and standing in the league. A draw could be a feasible outcome, with a predicted scoreline of 1-1, acknowledging Hoffenheim's strong away performance and Mainz's need to respond positively at home. However, Mainz's desperate need for points could tilt the balance slightly in their favor.

Mainz 05 Performance Check

Managed by Bo Henriksen, Mainz 05 finds themselves in a precarious position in the Bundesliga table. With only one win from ten matches, the team has struggled to find consistency, especially at home where they have yet to register a victory. Their recent form, consisting of one win, one draw, and three losses in the last five matches, highlights the challenges they face. Henriksen will need to rally his troops to exploit any weaknesses in the Hoffenheim setup and kickstart a much-needed revival in their campaign.

How is the Current Performance of 1899 Hoffenheim?

Under the guidance of Christian Ilzer, 1899 Hoffenheim has enjoyed a commendable start to the season. Positioned sixth on the table, their impressive away record of four wins and one draw speaks volumes of their strength on the road. In their last five matches across all competitions, Hoffenheim has secured four wins, underscoring their impressive form. Ilzer's side will aim to maintain this momentum against a struggling Mainz 05, capitalizing on any defensive lapses to secure a favorable result.

Last Direct Match

The previous encounter between these two sides saw Hoffenheim claim a decisive 2-0 victory at home. This result not only showcased their attacking capability but also highlighted the defensive issues that Mainz continues to grapple with. Hoffenheim will look to replicate this performance, whereas Mainz will be eager to rectify past mistakes and offer a sterner challenge.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

Over their last five meetings across all competitions, Mainz 05 holds a slight edge with three wins, while Hoffenheim has secured one victory and a draw. Historically, clashes between these two teams have been competitive, and Mainz will hope to draw inspiration from past successes to turn the tide in their favor.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Mainz 05's recent form has been less than stellar, with a solitary win, a draw, and three losses in their last five outings. In contrast, Hoffenheim has been in robust form, claiming four wins and suffering just one defeat. This contrast highlights the uphill task Mainz faces in overcoming a well-drilled Hoffenheim side.

Performance

Mainz 05

Last games

Mainz 05 performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

33%

Over 2.5

33%

1899 Hoffenheim

Last games

1899 Hoffenheim performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Last Match Results: Mainz 05 and 1899 Hoffenheim

In their last match, Mainz 05 suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat away to Eintracht Frankfurt, a result that further compounded their struggles. Meanwhile, Hoffenheim cruised to a comfortable 3-0 victory at home against SpVgg Greuther Fürth, reinforcing their position as formidable opponents in the league.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

For this Bundesliga clash, the best odds for a Mainz 05 victory are available at Betika with a return of 2.42. For those considering a draw, Betwinner offers odds of 3.84, while a Hoffenheim win is priced at 2.96, also at Betwinner. For both teams to score, Paripesa provides odds of 1.55, a likely scenario given the attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities of both sides. To make the most of your betting experience, be sure to explore the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, this match promises to be an engaging affair as Mainz 05 seeks to break their home win drought against a Hoffenheim side that has been impressive on the road. While Mainz's current form suggests a challenge, their need for points could spur them to deliver a surprising result. Hoffenheim, on the other hand, will aim to continue their fine form and consolidate their position in the upper echelons of the table.

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