Southampton v Tottenham
67% of Southampton’s games had under 2.5 goals in total.
76% of Tottenham’s games had over 2.5 goals scored in total.
Tottenham scored at least one goal in 81% of their away games.
Both teams could be missing their first-choice goalkeeper as Forster is definitely injured whilst Lloris is a doubt.
Southampton have kept as many clean sheets in Premier League home games this season (11) as the total number of goals both Sunderland and West Brom have scored away from home.
And have kept more clean sheets than the total number of Premier League goals that they have conceded at St Mary’s this season (10).
Verdict : Draw @ 3.50 at Comeon.com
WBA v Liverpool
In my estimation Liverpool are a very decent price here considering their current form.
61% of West Bromwich’s conceded goals occured in the first half.
Liverpool scored at least one goal in each of their last 8 games.
WBA will be missing important defender Dawson for this one and I feel Liverpool will bounce back from their shocking FA cup exit at the hands of Aston Villa.
Verdict : Liverpool @ 2.05 at William Hill
Arsenal v Chelsea
This is the main event of the weekend and I am siding with the potential FA cup winners to beat the potential EPL champions.
It has been a while since Arsenal beat Chelsea but on this occasion I believe that they will prevail.
Chelsea may not have a single fit forward for this showpiece as there are doubts over Drogba, Costa, and Remy.
Arsenal scored at least one goal in 100% of their home games.
Arsenal have scored the opening goal in 72% of their games.
Arsenal have won their last 9 home games.
Arsenal scored at least one goal in each of their last 15 home games.
Verdict : Arsenal @ 2.50 at Interwetten
Everton v Man United
LVG described Man Uniteds performance against Chelsea as their best of the season and my model predicts them to follow that up with a win here at better than reasonable odds.
Neither team has any major injury concerns and there aren’t many stats to support my forecast but I just feel that a team is only as good as their last match and I have to agree with LVG that United performed brilliantly away to Chelsea and if they do the same at Goodison park they should go back to Manchester with 3 crucial points if they want Champions League football next season.
Everton on the other hand don’t have much to play for.
Verdict : Man United @ 2.20 at BetVictor