Premier League betting system Round 23

I'm back with my picks for Premier League round 23 and as you already know, my betting system lead to a return on Investment of 33 % in the last EPL Saison. My suggestion is to bet every game with leveled stakes at about 6 % of your initial betting bank. Here we go:

Sunderland v Burnley
Sunderland have won just one of their last 12 Premier League matches (W1 D6 L5).
Danny Ings has scored in each of his last three Premier League appearances.
Ashley Barnes has scored four goals from just six shots on target in the Premier League.
According to my system this match has the potential to be a ‘shock’ result of the weekend. There aren’t many stats to support this forecast but stats are just that – stats. My system considers all factors and variables.
Sunderland odds are bad value which sometimes means that the other teams’ odds represent value.
My system is both subjective and objective whilst also using data that is both qualitative and quantitative.
Verdict : Burnley @ 3.75 at Bookie BetVictor

Stoke v QPR
I feel that this is the game where QPR can at least get an away point.
Stoke will be missing key attacking threat Bojan who has bailed them out on more than one occasion this season.
Stoke have only won four out of 10 Barclays Premier League games at the Britannia this season, netting just 12 goals on home soil. (W4 D2 L4).
Niko Kranjcar has scored three goals in five Barclays Premier League games against Stoke including in both of his visits to the Britannia Stadium.
Stoke have won five of the 16 Premier League games Bojan has played. He has scored in four of those victories and none of the matches they didn’t win.
Verdict : QPR +0.5 @ 2.3 at Bookie Bet365

Hull v Newcastle
Hull have key players injured with Diame, Bruce, Chester, Hernandez and Jelavic all set to miss out.
None of the last seven matches between Hull and Newcastle in all competitions has ended as a home win (three draws, four away wins).
The Tigers have won just two of their last 12 Premier League home games (W2 D3 L7).
Hull City have failed to score in 10 of their last 14 Premier League matches.
Steve Bruce’s side have failed to score in four of the last six Premier League home matches.
Hull have conceded 17 goals in their last 12 home league games, managing just three clean sheets.
Verdict : Newcastle @ 3,0 at Bookie BetVictor

Chelsea v Man City
Chelsea have won 73% of their games. Chelsea have won 100% of their home games.
Chelsea scored at least one goal in each of their last 9 games. Chelsea scored at least one goal in 100% of their home games. 84% of Chelsea’s conceded goals were conceded away.
Chelsea have scored the opening goal in 73% of their games. Chelsea were leading at half-time in 59% of their games. Chelsea have won their last 10 home games.
Chelsea will be buoyed by beating Liverpool and making it into the League Cup final.
I see them taking full advantage of their home soil and extending their lead over City to 8 points.
Verdict : Chelsea @ 2.10 at Bookie Bet3000

Liverpool v West Ham
West Ham United have not won away in the league at Anfield since 1963, losing 30 and drawing 11 of their subsequent 41 trips since.
The Hammers have scored just seven goals in their last 29 league visits to Anfield, failing to score on 23 occasions. The goal they netted last season was a Skrtel own goal.
The Hammers’ victory over the Reds earlier this season was only their third in the last 23 Premier League meetings (W3 D4 L16).
West Ham Utd conceded at least one goal in 100% of their away games.
West Ham Utd conceded at least one goal in each of their last 10 away games.
Verdict : Liverpool -1 @ 2.75 at Bookie Tipico