Gurus Betting Tips for Premier League Round 32

With his betting system our Premier League Guru reaches a Return on Investment of 33 %. He suggests to bet on every pick with leveled stake of about 6 % of your initial betting bank. Here's what he predicts for this weekend:

Burnley v Arsenal
According to my system this match has the potential to be a ‘shock’ result of the weekend.
There aren’t many stats to support this forecast but stats are just that – stats.
My system considers all factors and variables.
Arsenal odds are bad value which sometimes means that the other teams’ odds represent value.
My system is both subjective and objective whilst also using data that is both qualitative and quantitative.
Verdict : Burnley @ 7.0 at bookie Interwetten

West Ham v Stoke
According to my ratings, these two sides are very evenly matched.
Even their head to head shows this as there have been 4 West Ham wins, 4 Stoke wins, and 3 draws from their last 11 meetings.
For this encounter West Ham will be missing important defender Tomkins and the aerial attacking threat of Carroll whilst Stoke will be missing the attacking threat of Bojan who had been terrific for them until he got injured.
There haven’t been many draws in the EPL in recent weeks so according to the law of averages this could be a stalemate.
Verdict : Draw @ 3.40 at bookieBetVictor

Tottenham v Aston Villa
Tottenham conceded at least one goal in each of their last 6 home games.
According to my system this match has the potential to be a ‘shock’ result of the weekend.
There aren’t many stats to support this forecast but stats are just that – stats.
My system considers all factors and variables.
Tottenham odds are bad value which sometimes means that the other teams’ odds represent value.
My system is both subjective and objective whilst also using data that is both qualitative and quantitative.
Verdict : Villa @ 6.0 at bookie Bet365

Swansea v Everton
Swansea are looking to win three Barclays Premier League games in a row for the first time since the opening three games of the season.
Swansea’s Ki Sung-Yong has scored four goals in his last eight Premier League games with the last three all coming inside the opening 30 minutes.
Garry Monk has the best win rate of any Swansea manager in the Premier League (40%, Rodgers had 32%, Laudrup 27%)
Verdict : Swansea @ 2.5 at bookie Betway

Sunderland v Crystal Palace
Sunderland have only scored more than twice in two Barclays Premier League games this season and one of them came in their 3-1 win at Palace in November.
If the Premier League only counted games since Alan Pardew took over as Palace manager then the Eagles would be fifth, only two points behind Chelsea.
Palace are looking to win four league games in a row for the first time since winning five in succession last April.
Crystal Palace have kept only one clean sheet under Alan Pardew (in 11 PL games).
Only WBA (23) have conceded more home goals than Sunderland (22) this season.
Verdict : Draw @ 3.24 at bookie Bet3000