Newcastle v Arsenal
St James Park has seen the joint-most goals netted in the final 15 minutes of matches (13 along with the Emirates).
According to my system this match has the potential to be a ‘shock’ result of the weekend. There aren’t many stats to support this forecast but stats are just that – stats. My system considers all factors and variables.
Arsenal odds are bad value which sometimes means that the other teams’ odds represent value.
My system is both subjective and objective whilst also using data that is both qualitative and quantitative.
Verdict : Newcastle Double Chance @ 2.35 at Bookie Betclic
QPR v Everton
Everton should be tired after travelling to Ukraine on Thursday and QPR should be raring to go as they are desperate for the points to stay in the EPL.
QPR’s away form is terrible so they have to get the points at home and they are now running out of games so don’t have a choice but to get the 3 points here.
I feel that considering all the above QPR’s odds are very generous.
QPR captain Barton also returns.
Verdict : QPR @ 3.50 at Bookie Comeon
Aston Villa v Swansea
Swansea City have lost just one of their seven Barclays Premier League meetings with Aston Villa (W3 D3 L1).
Aston Villa ended a run of six home Premier League games without a win (W0 D3 L3) with victory last time out against West Brom.
Swansea’s last three Premier League away wins have all been by a 1-0 scoreline.
Only Everton (17) have dropped more points from winning positions than Swansea City this season (16).
No Villa manager has won three Premier League games in a row since Martin O’Neill in April 2010.
Verdict : Draw @ 3.40 at Bookie Bet365
Southampton v Burnley
66% of Southampton’s games had under 2.5 goals in total.
Burnley conceded at least one goal in 93% of their away games.
68% of Burnley’s points have been earned at home.
Burnley conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 away games.
Both teams were brilliant in their last outing but because of home advantage I predict Southampton to overcome this handicap and make a stake for the elusive 4th spot.
Verdict : Burnley +0.5 @ 2.75 at Bookie Bet365
West Ham v Sunderland
Sunderland have lost just one of their last seven Barclays Premier League games against West Ham (W3 D3 L1).
Jermain Defoe has scored four goals in his last five Premier League appearances against former club West Ham United.
The Hammers have won just one of their last 12 Premier League matches (W1 D5 L6).
Sunderland have won one of their last 12 Premier League matches (W1 D4 L7), but none of the last six away (W0 D3 L3).
The Black Cats have netted just one goal in their last five Premier League matches.
Verdict : Draw @ 3.65 at Bookie Comeon
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