Premier League Gurus Tips for Round 17

Here are the weekly Premier League picks of our betting Guru. As you already know his system brings up to 33 % Return on Investment if you place all the bets with leveled stakes (suggested: 6% of initial betting bank):

Aston Villa v Man United

71% of Manchester Utd’s points have been earned at home.
According to my system this match has the potential to be a ‘shock’ result of the weekend. There aren’t many stats to support this forecast but stats are just that – stats. My system considers all factors and variables.
Man United win odds are bad value which sometimes means that the other teams’ odds represent value.
My system is both subjective and objective whilst also using data that is both qualitative and quantitative. Spurs have won more away points (11) than at White Hart Lane (10) this season.
Verdict : AV +0 @ 4.36 at Bookie Bet365

Liverpool v Arsenal

Arsenal will be without their influential midfielder Ramsey who is injured. He will be missed greatly. They may also be missing Ox and Monreal who both require late fitness tests.
Liverpool have scored 63% of their goals away.
Arsenal scored at least one goal in each of their last 9 games. Arsenal scored at least one goal in 88% of their away games.
Liverpool will be missing important defenders Johnson and Lovren.
Verdict : Draw @ 3.54 at Bookie BetVictor

Hull v Swansea

Hull City did not win in their last 9 games.
The Tigers have won a league-low six points in Premier League home matches this season.
Wilfried Bony has scored eight goals in his last 10 Premier League appearances.
The Tigers have won just one of their last 15 Premier League games (W1 D7 L7).
Hull will be missing midfield engine Huddlestone (suspended), as well as Diame and Dawson (injuries). These three are crucial to fielding their strongest lineup.
Hull have scored just two goals in eight games.
Verdict : Swansea @ 2.55 at Bookie Bwin

Man City v Crystal Palace

Important Man City forwards Kun Aguero and Dzeko will be missing for this game as well as solid defender and captain Kompany.
According to my system this match has the potential to be a ‘shock’ result of the weekend. There aren’t many stats to support this forecast but stats are just that – stats. My system considers all factors and variables.
Man City win odds are bad value which sometimes means that the other teams’ odds represent value.
My system is both subjective and objective whilst also using data that is both qualitative and quantitative.
Manchester City have scored 64% of their goals away.
Mile Jedinak has made more interceptions (60) than any other PL player this season, while only Nathaniel Clyne (70) has made more tackles than the Australian (60).
Verdict : Crystal Palace +0.5 @ 4.19 at Bookie Bet365

Stoke v Chelsea

Stoke City conceded at least one goal in each of their last 10 games. Stoke City conceded at least one goal in 86% of their home games.
Chelsea have won 75% of their games. Chelsea scored at least one goal in 88% of their away games.
Chelsea were leading at half-time in 56% of their games.
Stoke will be missing important attacking threat Victor Moses.
Verdict : Chelsea -1 @ 2.75 at Bookie Tipico

Southampton v Everton

Southampton have major injuries and suspensions to contend with.
Cork, Wanyama, Tadic, and Schneiderlin are all confirmed absent whilst Davis and Pelle are doubts.
Southampton have lost their last 4 games.
Everton scored at least one goal in 88% of their away games.
Considering Southamptons absentees, Everton have a great chance here.
Verdict : Everton +0 @ 2.25 at Bookie 18Bet