Premier League Round 24 – Gurus’ Betting System Picks:

Round 24 of the Premier League is knocking at the door and there are some possible upsets in this round. As you I bet all my picks with leveled stakes of 6 % of my initial betting bank. I reached a Return on Investment of 33 % in the last season.

Leicester v Crystal Palace
Leicester City conceded at least one goal in 82% of their home games.
Leicester have won just one of their last eight home Premier League games (W1 D2 L5).
Crystal Palace have scored exactly two goals in their last three matches against Leicester City.
These two sides have been fairly evenly matched in their league history, with the Foxes winning 18 times, Palace 17 and 14 draws.
Leicester City have won none of their last 16 Premier League matches against London clubs (W0 D5 L11).
The Eagles have failed to score in five of their last seven away Premier League matches.
Verdict : Draw @ 3.35 at Bookie Comeon

Man City v Hull
Manuel Pellegrini’s side have conceded exactly two goals in each of their last three Premier League matches at the Etihad Stadium.
Manchester City haven’t gone four Premier League games without a win since November 2009 when the last game in that seven-match run was a home match versus Hull City.
According to my system this match has the potential to be a ‘shock’ result of the weekend. There aren’t many stats to support this forecast but stats are just that – stats. My system considers all factors and variables.
Man City odds are bad value which sometimes means that the other teams’ odds represent value.
My system is both subjective and objective whilst also using data that is both qualitative and quantitative.
Verdict : Double Chance X2 – Hull @ 5,0 at Bookie Tipico

Swansea v Sunderland
Sunderland have only won one of the seven Barclays Premier League meetings with Swansea (W1 D4 L2).
The Swans have dropped more points from winning positions (16) than any other team in the top flight this season, in 59% of their games.
After a five game unbeaten run on the road and four consecutive clean sheets, Sunderland have lost their last two Premier League away matches.
Swansea haven’t lost back to back home matches at Liberty Stadium since January 2014.
Verdict : Draw @ 3.5 at Bookie Bet365

QPR v Southampton
100% of QP Rangers’s points have been earned at home. QP Rangers have scored 75% of their goals at home.
Defeat against Manchester United last time out at Loftus Road ended a run of seven unbeaten on home soil for QPR in the Barclays Premier League (W4 D3).
Rangers have netted a higher proportion of goals in the final 15 minutes of games (29%) than any other team in the top flight.
Southampton have struck the woodwork more times than any other team in the Premier League this season (13).
Verdict : QPR +0 @ 3.25 at Bookie Bet365

Aston Villa v Chelsea
Jose Mourinho has a surprisingly poor record as a coach against Aston Villa at Villa Park in the Barclays Premier League with Chelsea (W0 D3 L2).
Aston Villa and Newcastle United are the only two Premier League teams Jose Mourinho has visited with a Chelsea team without having at least one victory.
82% of Aston Villa’s goals have been scored in the first half.
Verdict : Aston Villa +0.5 @ 3.26 at Bookie Comeon